Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid predictions, odds and betting tips
IN what would have been a fitting final, PSG and Real Madrid will clash in the second FIFA Club World Cup semi-final at the MetLife Stadium on Wednesday.
PSG are the top team in European and probably world football at the moment. However, Real Madrid is a team packed with superstars that knows how to get to finals and win trophies.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips
- Real Madrid to qualify – 23/20 with SBK
- Jude Bellingham over 0.5 shots on target – 22/25 with BetMGM
- BTTS, both teams 4+ corners and both teams 20+ booking points – 5/1 with Betfred
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PSG vs Real Madrid odds
Find the latest football betting odds for PSG vs Real Madrid here. Our odds are provided by our recommended football betting sites and are subject to change.
PSG vs Real Madrid predictions
Paris Saint-Germain have been outstanding in 2025, clinching a domestic treble and the Champions League. On Wednesday they will face arguably their biggest test of the season when they face Real Madrid in the semi-final of the FIFA Club World Cup.
Such is the form of Paris, the bookmakers have them as the favourites to win. Luis Enrique’s team are 13/10 to win in 90 minutes and 7/10 to qualify.
The Parisians have had a comfortable passage to the final. They started by topping Group B with six points. A 4-0 win over Inter Miami in the Round of 16 followed, and they then defeated Bayern Munich 2-0 in their quarter-final, despite finishing the match with just nine men.
After their red cards against Bayern, PSG will be without Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernandez for the semi-final against Madrid. There are still fitness concerns surrounding Ousmane Dembélé, who has only made two substitute appearances at the Club World Cup. In all likelihood, the Ballon d’Or contender will start from the bench.
Real Madrid have looked less assured than Paris have at the Club World Cup. However, they are finding ways to win matches and as a result, Xabi Alonso’s team are in another semi-final of a major competition.
Los Blancos topped Group H with seven points, with only a 1-1 draw against Al-Hilal preventing a perfect record.
A 1-0 win over Juventus in the Round of 16 followed. The result didn’t really reflect the performance, as Madrid were head and shoulders above the Italians and should have won by far more.
Real were then coasting into the semi-final when leading Borussia Dortmund 2-0 in the closing stages of their quarter-final. A crazy few minutes saw three stoppage time goals and a red card for Dean Huijsen.
Eventually, Madrid made it to the final four with a 3-2 win. However, they have keeper Thibaut Courtois to thank for his last gasp save that prevented the match from going to extra-time.
Apart from Dean Huijsen’s suspension for his red card, Madrid have a clean bill of health for the semi-final. The key decision for head coach Xabi Alonso appears to be deciding which of Kylian Mbappé and Gonzalo García will lead the line.
(quarter final update)
PSG vs Real Madrid betting tips
The form guide is pointing towards a win for PSG. While there were initial doubts about how seriously the Parisians would approach the competition, those concerns have since been put to rest. However, overcoming Real Madrid presents an entirely different challenge. Our match tips follow:
Real Madrid to qualify
PSG look to be the stronger team on paper and should win if they play to form. However, they are now nearing the end of a very tiring season.
Real Madrid have also had a very busy season, but new head coach Xabi Alonso has freshened up his playing XI at the Club World Cup.
Real have already won this competition five times. They’ve also won the Champions League twice in recent years, despite not looking like the best team in competition.
Los Blancos seem to find a way to win big trophies and we can see them taking advantage of a tiring PSG and reaching yet another major final.
Back Real to qualify at 23/20 with SBK
Jude Bellingham over 0.5 shots on target
Jude Bellingham has had six shots at goal in his five FIFA Club World Cup matches (383 minutes), with three on target, including his goal against Pachuca.
Bellingham is a man for the big occasion. He is 33/10 to score anytime.
However, given Gianluigi Donnarumma can produce inspired performances in big games, we are instead backing Bellingham to have one or more shots on target, rather than score.
Back Jude Bellingham to have one or more shots on target at 22/25 with BetMGM
BTTS, both teams 4+ corners and both teams 20+ booking points
There’s a strong chance that both teams will find the net in this semi-final clash.
PSG managed zero corners against Bayern in a surprising stat, but that followed their seven against Inter Miami in the previous round. They also collected 60 booking points in their hectic encounter with Munich.
Real Madrid registered three corners and 35 booking points against Borussia Dortmund, but showed their attacking intent with 11 corners in their previous match against Juventus.
With both sides likely to go on the front foot from the off, there’s every chance that all the components of this bet are within reach.
How to watch Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid
- Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey.
- Date and time: Wednesday, 9th July, 8pm BST.
- How to watch: DAZN and Channel 5.
WATCH EVERY MATCH OF THE CLUB WORLD CUP 2025 LIVE ON DAZN
About the author
Craig Mahood
Craig Mahood is an expert in sports betting and online casinos and has worked with the company since 2020. He joined the Betting & Gaming team at The Sun in June 2022 and works closely with the leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to provide content on all areas of sports betting and gaming. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter at the Scottish Sun, covering Scottish football with particular focus on Celtic and Rangers, As well as football, he has covered horse racing, boxing, darts, the Olympics and tennis for the Sun.
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